Neutral regime; SPY flat 20d, -1.2% 5d, RSI ~51. Bond stress (5.5% Treasuries, tanking bond market headlines) caps overall beta appetite, but tech relative strength vs SPY remains the alpha source: QQQ +3.3% rel 20d, AMD and META +29% rel 20d, NVDA +3.3% rel. Crypto is overbought (RSI 76-78), avoid.
Mandate needs +5pp vs SPY with smaller drawdown. Sitting at 62% invested undershoots my own 69-71% target and risks lagging if the tape grinds up. Move to ~70% invested via a small AMD momentum starter on a dip and a QQQ top-up, keeping ~30% cash as the drawdown cushion vs a fully-invested SPY benchmark. Tech tilt supplies the relative return; cash buffer plus position caps (no name >13% of equity) supply the protection.