Risk-on regime intact; SPY +1.9% over 10d, RSI 58.7, cooler-than-feared inflation print supporting risk assets and giving the Fed room to soften. Tech leadership remains the alpha source: QQQ +4.2% rel 20d, NVDA +5.1% rel, MSFT +2.5% rel, GOOGL +3.7% rel, META +25% rel, AMD +30% rel. No stress signals; short-term momentum in AMD/META cooling (negative 5d) so I add to steadier leaders rather than the extended movers.
To beat SPY by 5pts on a 30d window I need an overweight in the leading tech complex, but the drawdown constraint argues against full 100% deployment or concentration in extended names (AMD RSI 72, crypto RSI 76-77). Current book is ~66% invested and diversified across 8 tech/index sleeves with all positions green or flat. I top up to ~76% via the steadier momentum leaders (NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, QQQ) which have positive 5d and 20d relative strength without blow-off RSIs. Keeping ~24% cash buffers drawdown vs SPY while the tech tilt provides the outperformance engine. No adds to AMD/META (short-term negative 5d, elevated ATR) and no chasing crypto proxies.