GREEN ARROWLLM v2 (edge)
PAPER · NO LIVE AUTH REGIME / RISK_ON
LIVE · 12:28:01 ET · refresh 15s
AUTO-CYCLE / 15MPAPER-LOCKED
EQUITY
$1,038.97
+$3.66 P/Lsince inception
TOTAL RETURN
+0.35%
LAST CYCLE
+0.12%
0 open · regime risk_on
DAY-TRADES / 5D
0 / 3
MANAGER STANCE · LLM
RISK APPETITE 3/5
TARGET INVESTED
74%
Regime upgraded to risk_on. Tech leadership vs SPY intact across 5/10/20d windows (QQQ +3.3% vs SPY +0.05% 20d). US-China dinner optics and AI capex momentum supportive, though rising yields and AI-debt warnings (Burry, Goldman, Oracle force majeure headlines) argue against chasing the parabolic names. Portfolio at 61% invested vs 74% target — close the gap via non-extended tech.
To beat SPY by 5pp I need overweight tech beta, which has been the working thesis (all positions green). But the drawdown clause forbids piling into AMD/META at RSI 76-80 after +31-32% 20d runs — a single air-pocket there would breach the protect side of the mandate. Instead, add to NVDA (RSI 44.5, dipped 2%, laggard with catch-up potential in a risk_on tape), MSFT (strongest 5d among holdings, RSI only 59.6, unified Copilot enterprise narrative), and QQQ (diversified tech beta). This lifts invested to ~74% with ~26% cash cushion protecting the rolling drawdown vs SPY. Skip AMZN despite RSI 41 — negative rel strength and AI-capex payback questions mean it drags relative return.
EQUITY CURVE
1D1W1MALL
05:4309:4510:3011:1512:15
RISK POSTURE
DEPLOYED61%
$636.86 at work$402.11 dry powder
MAX DD
-0.4%
FILLS
0
BLOCKED
0
OPEN
0
WIN RATE
—
AVG HOLD
—
Cash account, no leverage — can't lose more than deposited. Regime risk_on: entries sized to at most 25% per position and 2% risk per trade.
OPEN POSITIONS0 OPEN / 5 CAP
SYMBOLCLASSENTRYSTOP / ENTRY / TARGETR:RSCALED
Flat. No open positions.
RECENT ORDERS
TIMESTATUSSIDE / SYMBOLQTYFILL
No orders yet.
ACTIVITY & DECISIONS

Every proposal, why it was allowed or blocked, and what filled.

LLM STANCESep 25, 12:15:39
risk 3/5 · target invested 74% — To beat SPY by 5pp I need overweight tech beta, which has been the working thesis (all positions green). But the drawdown clause forbids piling into AMD/META at RSI 76-80 after +31-32% 20d runs — a single air-pocket there would breach the protect side of the mandate. Instead, add to NVDA (RSI 44.5, dipped 2%, laggard with catch-up potential in a risk_on tape), MSFT (strongest 5d among holdings, RSI only 59.6, unified Copilot enterprise narrative), and QQQ (diversified tech beta). This lifts invested to ~74% with ~26% cash cushion protecting the rolling drawdown vs SPY. Skip AMZN despite RSI 41 — negative rel strength and AI-capex payback questions mean it drags relative return.
LLM STANCESep 25, 12:00:45
risk 3/5 · target invested 74% — To beat SPY by 5pts I need the tech overweight working, but the drawdown constraint rules out concentrating in extended names. Adding to the two least-extended holdings on dips moves me from ~61% to ~73% invested, keeping ~27% cash as a shock absorber against rising yields / AI-debt headlines. Diversified across 7 names, none above ~13% of equity, so single-name risk stays well under the 30% cap and portfolio beta is moderate.
LLM STANCESep 25, 11:45:38
risk 3/5 · target invested 74% — Beating SPY by 5pp requires being invested in the leadership complex (QQQ/megacap tech), not hiding in cash. But the smaller-drawdown condition rules out chasing RSI-79 parabolics or full deployment. 74% invested in a diversified tech-tilted book plus 26% cash buffer has delivered uniformly green positions so far; completing deployment to target via a beta add (QQQ), a momentum add with room (MSFT), and a mean-reversion add (NVDA) improves upside capture without concentrating drawdown risk. All positions remain well under the 30% cap.
LLM STANCESep 25, 11:30:39
risk 3/5 · target invested 74% — To beat SPY by 5pts I need a growth/tech tilt, which is where relative strength is. Actual invested (~61%) is below my 74% target, so I add measured size to the strongest non-extended names (MSFT, QQQ) and the best dip (NVDA). ~26% cash buffer plus diversification across 7 names keeps drawdown below SPY's - no single position exceeds ~17%, no chasing RSI>75 names, no options premium bleed in a neutral tape.
LLM STANCESep 25, 11:15:36
risk 3/5 · target invested 74% — Mandate is beat SPY by 5pp with smaller drawdown. Book is only 61% invested vs my 74% target, so cash drag hurts if SPY grinds up. I add to non-extended relative-strength names (MSFT RSI 59, QQQ RSI 65) plus a small NVDA dip-add (RSI 43, 2.6% off highs), while keeping ~26% cash buffer and refusing to chase parabolic AMD/META — that protects the drawdown leg of the goal while the tech tilt drives the outperformance leg.
LLM STANCESep 25, 11:00:46
risk 3/5 · target invested 74% — Beating SPY by 5pts requires tilting toward the tech leadership that is outperforming the benchmark, but the smaller-drawdown condition rules out chasing RSI-80 names or concentrating. Currently ~61% invested vs 74% target — under-invested in a market where tech is grinding higher means benchmark-hugging risk. Adding ~13% via diversified, non-extended tech (MSFT, QQQ, NVDA dip) improves relative-return capture while the remaining ~26% cash buffer plus diversification across 7 names keeps drawdown shallower than SPY if yields bite.
LLM STANCESep 25, 10:45:36
risk 3/5 · target invested 74% — To beat SPY by 5pp I need a sustained tech overweight, but the drawdown constraint rules out chasing parabolic AMD/META. Adding to diversified QQQ, quality-momentum MSFT, and oversold NVDA gets me to target exposure with better entry quality. 26% cash cushions any yield-driven pullback so my drawdown stays shallower than SPY's.
LLM STANCESep 25, 10:30:43
risk 3/5 · target invested 74% — To beat SPY by 5pp I need an overweight in the tech leadership that has been driving relative outperformance — cash-hugging fails the mandate in a market where QQQ leads. But neutral regime + yield-surge headlines argue against full deployment; keeping ~26% cash caps drawdown vs SPY and preserves dry powder. Adds are sized modestly (4-5% each) into non-extended names, avoiding the parabolic AMD/META which pose the biggest mean-reversion drawdown risk. Consistent with my recent 73-74% targets — thesis is working (all positions green) so I execute rather than churn.
LLM STANCESep 25, 10:15:39
risk 3/5 · target invested 74% — My actual invested (61%) has lagged my stated targets (73-80%) for several cycles — closing that gap now since sitting on 39% cash in a market where QQQ is outrunning SPY guarantees benchmark underperformance. Deploying ~13% into non-extended quality tech (GOOGL/MSFT/QQQ) tilts the book toward the outperforming factor while keeping ~26% cash buffer and avoiding parabolic names, which protects the drawdown side of the mandate. Max single-name exposure stays well under the 30% cap.
LLM STANCESep 25, 10:00:50
risk 3/5 · target invested 73% — To beat SPY by 5pp I need the tech overweight working, which it is (all positions green). But the neutral regime downgrade and rate pressure argue against full deployment or chasing extended leaders. Adding ~12% equity across three non-overbought names lifts invested to ~73%, maintaining alpha exposure while the remaining cash cushion keeps portfolio drawdown shallower than SPY's if yields keep biting.
LLM STANCESep 25, 09:45:39
risk 3/5 · target invested 74% — Mandate requires beating SPY while holding smaller drawdown. Underinvestment (61%) risks lagging if tech leadership continues, so I add to non-extended relative-strength names (MSFT RSI 58, GOOGL RSI 54, QQQ). Skipping parabolic AMD/META protects the drawdown side. Keeping ~26% cash cushions against the neutral regime shift and rising-yield pressure — a smaller-drawdown edge vs SPY if markets wobble, while the QQQ/mega-cap tilt provides the outperformance engine if they don't.
LLM STANCESep 25, 09:30:38
risk 4/5 · target invested 79% — To beat SPY by 5pp I need a tech/momentum overweight, not benchmark hugging — QQQ tilt plus NVDA/TSLA/GOOGL adds deliver that. To keep drawdown smaller than SPY's, I avoid the parabolic names, avoid options premium bleed, diversify across 7 names (largest ~18%), and hold ~21% cash as buffer. Currently only 61% invested, below my stated 78-80% target from recent cycles; topping up to ~79% while the regime is risk-on.
LLM STANCESep 25, 09:15:37
risk 4/5 · target invested 79% — To beat SPY by 5pp I must overweight the leadership factor (tech momentum) rather than hug the index, but the drawdown constraint rules out chasing RSI-80+ names. Rotating out of the laggard (AMZN) into non-extended momentum (QQQ, NVDA, TSLA) sharpens relative return while ~21% cash and diversification across 7 names cap downside vs SPY in a pullback.
LLM STANCESep 25, 09:00:50
risk 4/5 · target invested 80% — To beat SPY by 5pp I need overweight in the leading tech complex, but the drawdown constraint rules out chasing RSI-85 names. Rotating from lagging AMZN into cooled-off momentum (NVDA RSI 46, TSLA RSI 51, AAPL RSI 58) improves expected relative return without extending into parabolic risk. ~20% cash buffer plus small SPY holding caps downside vs benchmark. All positions stay well under the 30% single-name limit.
LLM STANCESep 25, 05:43:29
risk 4/5 · target invested 78% — To beat SPY by 5pp in a risk-on tape I need a growth overweight, so I rotate capital from the weakest holding (AMZN) into trend-strong/RSI-neutral names (NVDA, TSLA) plus QQQ beta. I deliberately avoid the overbought parabolic leaders (AMD, META) because a snapback there would violate the smaller-drawdown condition. ~22% cash buffer plus diversification across 7 positions caps drawdown vs SPY while the QQQ/NVDA/TSLA tilt provides the relative-return edge.
GREEN ARROW LLM V2 (EDGE)PAPER TRADING30 JOURNAL EVENTS