Risk-on regime intact: SPY +1.8% over 10d with RSI 58 (not overbought), PCE in line, growth sectors leading defensives. Tech leadership is the alpha engine — QQQ +4.3% rel 20d, NVDA +5.3% rel, GOOGL +4.1% rel, META/AMD extended (RSI 67-74) after big 20d runs. AAPL has a positive Oct 13 product-event catalyst. TSLA and AMZN show negative relative strength — no reason to own laggards under a beat-the-benchmark mandate.
Currently ~66% invested vs 77% target; in a confirmed risk-on tape, sitting on 34% cash is a drag against a rising SPY. I'll deploy ~11% of equity into the strongest relative-strength names that are NOT overbought (NVDA, GOOGL, AAPL), keeping ~23% cash as drawdown buffer. I avoid adding to AMD (RSI 74, +32% in 20d) and META (RSI 67, +27% in 20d) — chasing extended names is where relative drawdown risk lives. Diversification across 8 names plus index sleeves (SPY/QQQ) keeps single-name risk well under the 30% cap and should keep drawdown at or below SPY's while the tech overweight generates the required excess return.