Neutral regime; SPY flat 20d, -1.2% 5d, RSI ~51. Bond stress (5.5% Treasuries) caps overall beta appetite, but tech relative strength vs SPY remains intact (QQQ +3.3% rel 20d, NVDA +7% 10d, MSFT only mega-cap green over 5d). AMD/META momentum leadership continues though extended on RSI.
To beat SPY by 5pp on 30d I need the tech overweight deployed, not idle cash — I'm at 62% invested vs my own 69-70% target, so I top up modestly into the strongest-momentum names. The remaining ~29% cash buffer plus small position sizes (nothing >13%) keeps drawdown shallower than SPY if the bond-stress narrative bites. Small AMD starter on a dip adds alpha optionality without concentration risk; sized at 3% given elevated RSI/ATR.